Cui Bono?

Narrator met a friend of his who believed in conspiracy theories (though he does not have many friends, who do).

His friend told him: “The key question I ask when something happens is: cui bono or cui prodest? For example take the refugee crisis. At first glance it seems that they are driven by desperation because their lives have been destroyed by civil war and destruction. When you look closer you find out that they are the victims of profiteering by well-organized people smuggling gangs who ship thousands across the Mediterranean and make billions by it. However, if you look very carefully, you can see that the real beneficiaries of the refugee melee are the right wing populists in Europe. The Tories won the British elections in May with UKIP gaining almost 10% in popular vote since the last elections; the Danish People’s Party gained 15 seats in June and became the second largest party in Parliament, while in Austria the FPÖ gained spectacularly in Upper Austria and Vienna just recently. And look at our very own Mr Orbán, who was losing ground until the crisis hit. To him this was a godsend. So I think that the populist international has organized all of this hand in hand with Mr Putin who has been a long time keen supporter of the populist right anyway, and who in this particular case was fomenting the refugee crisis to prepare his entry into the Syrian conflict.”

To Narrator this did not make much sense, so he asked: “Do you really believe that Cameron, Orbán, Farage, Strache and others conspired with Mr Putin and devised a sinister game plan?”

Newly appointed Minister of Defence, István Simicskó inspects the fence on the Croatian border at the end of September. MTI Fotó: Varga György

Newly appointed Minister of Defence, István Simicskó inspects the fence on the Croatian border at the end of September.
MTI Fotó: Varga György

His friend replied: “Not exactly. It is even more complex than that. It is the barbed wire and fence producers that have organized the whole thing. Otherwise how could you explain that we first built a fence along the Serbian and now along the Croatian border but we are bussing everybody who comes through Croatia without any hesitation to Austria. Yesterday it was almost exactly 7000 refugees. Would it not have been much cheaper and easier to do the same on the Serbian border without ever building a single meter of fence?”

Narrator dropped silent. He had no arguments.

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