Cui Bono?

Narrator met a friend of his who believed in conspiracy theories (though he does not have many friends, who do).

His friend told him: “The key question I ask when something happens is: cui bono or cui prodest? For example take the refugee crisis. At first glance it seems that they are driven by desperation because their lives have been destroyed by civil war and destruction. When you look closer you find out that they are the victims of profiteering by well-organized people smuggling gangs who ship thousands across the Mediterranean and make billions by it. Continue reading

Not another Balkan war, please!

Croatia has banned all Serbs from entering its territory Thursday morning in retaliation for Serbs banning Croatian trucks from its territory in retaliation for Croatia shutting down all Serbian border crossings etc. A chain reaction of events that have one common root: the Hungarian border fence that has stopped refugees from entering Hungary and has left them stranded in Serbia. Continue reading

It was sooo predictable

Hungary has closed its borders, and logically, the refugees are looking for alternative routes towards Germany via Croatia, Romania and then back into Hungary or through Slovenia. This has been all pretty predictable, including the erection of new fences and the closure of further border crossings in the region. We have no reason to be surprised since Mr Orbán announced well in advance that he was going to build a fence, no matter what.

Continue reading

By moving to the far right, did Orbán create space in the political centre for an adversary?

Hungary sealed its border with Serbia on 15 September. Since then refugees can only enter legally at two ”entry points”. If they force their entry by scaling the fence along the border, they commit a crime – based on a new Law in force also as of 15 September, and this automatically disqualifies them from receiving asylum. Continue reading

Shame, shame

After several weeks of absence it is really hard to get back to the daily routine of blog writing. We have been trying for several days now. But the events, yes, we are talking about the refugee crisis, have overwhelmed us. We were gasping for air instead of grabbing a keyboard.

So let’s clarify where we stand on this:

In our view the way in which the Hungarian government handles the crisis is despicable. Continue reading

Mr. Orbán talks about the Serbian national character

This morning, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán gave one of his regular Friday morning radio interviews. While he mostly talked about the refugees and blamed the EU for encouraging Africans to come to wealthy Europe, he also talked about his meeting with the Serbian Prime Minister. was kind enough to transcribe what he had to say about the Serbs. Continue reading

Serbians have no other choice but to swallow the bitter pill – but they do it with grace

When the decision to build a fence on the Hungarian-Serbian border was announced, we wrote: ‘According to the Hungarian Foreign Minister, Péter Szíjjártó, the Serbian government has not been informed yet, but on 1 July there will be a government summit (whatever that means) where the issue will be discussed in detail.’ And indeed, yesterday the Serbian Prime Minister met with his Hungarian counterpart, Viktor Orbán, in Budapest.

We have looked at the releases of the two governments in order to guess what might have happened during the talks. Continue reading

Blame the Serbs

The government seems to have opened their box of tricks again. The “A decision was taken to close Hungarian-Serbian border.” headline as seen in our post yesterday, has disappeared from the government’s web page, to be replaced with the previous sub-heading: “The Minister of Interior has been instructed to prepare the closing of the Hungarian – Serbian border”. Which is definitely not the same.

According to the Serbian Ambassador, Rade Drobac has been told in the Foreign Ministry that the decision is not final yet and Hungary is still searching for a solution. Continue reading

Hungary in pursuit of the Turkish – Balkan Stream

Yesterday Peter Szíjjártó, the Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade, hosted the Foreign Ministers of Greece, Macedonia, Serbia and the Minister of EU Affairs of Turkey to discuss an alternative to the Southern Stream gas pipeline cancelled by Russia in December 2014. Continue reading